Outside the marginals

a commentary on the politics that followed the UK 2010 & 2015 elections

Archive for the tag “Trump”

Twitting about Wire-Taps

The latest morning tweets from Trump allege that Obama wire-tapped him. He offers no evidence (hard to get in in 140 characters), but demands a Congressional investigation.

This could be just more early morning venting. But it might (possibly) be more subtle. Read more…

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Is Trump an Alien?

A simple question that I have been asked; one deserving a simple answer.

The evidence? Read more…

Trump and Brexit

I would like to write him off, but Trump did win the Republican Nomination even though so many commentators said he was a joke.

Why did he win the nomination?

  • He has plugged into something that most commentators (professional and amateur) don’t understand
  • I suspect that his supporters hold “commentators” in contempt, so either,
    • they are not listening to the commentators saying what a danger he is, or
    • they are listening and what is being said just hardens their support for him

He put together a coalition of support in places where it mattered and won the nomination. To win the presidency (elected by an electoral college) he has to build a coalition of support in places where it matters – the swing states. Outside those marginals it does not matter what people think or vote.

Read more…

On the Precipice; No one likes us, it’s OK

What will happen on Thursday 23 June 2016 – the day of the EU In/Out Referendum promised to the Euro-septics? More importantly what happens afterwards?

We are told it’s going to be OK. The remain team’s warnings are overblown and can be dismissed (“dismiss” is the Leave team’s reflex reaction to anything Remain says) and we will have freedom! (Think Braveheart – staring Nigel Farage and Buffo Johnson) Read more…

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